Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.578050 1.807368 2.059314 2.356818 2.698753 3.079729 3.536804
2025-07-20 1.317852 1.633414 2.008959 2.489525 3.089249 3.814462 4.760281
2025-07-27 1.118748 1.483694 1.948841 2.586788 3.441741 4.551869 6.109283
2025-08-03 0.951851 1.339517 1.864303 2.629442 3.721659 5.232472 7.494678
2025-08-10 0.791821 1.174241 1.720248 2.560750 3.829912 5.687535 8.636418
2025-08-17 0.653363 1.015250 1.557111 2.432823 3.823652 5.965688 9.550634
2025-08-24 0.567157 0.919933 1.471775 2.404567 3.956905 6.463272 10.869452
2025-08-31 0.494354 0.834008 1.387084 2.361398 4.054234 6.909412 12.163116
2025-09-07 0.459812 0.805259 1.389655 2.460516 4.399321 7.808983 14.364098
2025-09-14 0.419912 0.761257 1.359507 2.496626 4.635858 8.547662 16.382992
2025-09-21 0.376930 0.705644 1.301024 2.471971 4.755160 9.085438 18.099270
2025-09-28 0.330108 0.636661 1.209103 2.371221 4.714027 9.311308 19.231621
2025-10-05 0.312036 0.621455 1.218615 2.473279 5.095830 10.436111 22.420624
2025-10-12 0.296724 0.609716 1.233471 2.588680 5.523359 11.719835 26.171753
2025-10-19 0.279718 0.592237 1.234514 2.675646 5.904475 12.964665 30.055799
2025-10-26 0.259685 0.565682 1.213232 2.711487 6.179202 14.019598 33.689296
2025-11-02 0.232656 0.520391 1.146116 2.635944 6.190505 14.482848 35.995107
2025-11-09 0.204503 0.468908 1.058793 2.501620 6.043925 14.555291 37.346043
2025-11-16 0.187093 0.439750 1.018022 2.471105 6.142416 15.229301 40.349125
2025-11-23 0.170617 0.410674 0.973764 2.425895 6.197638 15.804157 43.191772
2025-11-30 0.164749 0.406370 0.987640 2.527317 6.642287 17.437971 49.215198
2025-12-07 0.155552 0.392660 0.976885 2.564153 6.922876 18.684528 54.375236
2025-12-14 0.143875 0.371206 0.944157 2.538650 7.031239 19.482611 58.376899